Here, I am just going to look at chances of hitting 5 and 6 coins from various openings. Knowing these can really help to inform how you want to open the game quite a bit, as you plan out your turns 3 and 4. Hitting high coin amounts are definitely not the only factor you should consider - but it is an important one.
The following probabilities assume no funny business or interference from opponents.
Silver/Silver
(Silver/Terminal Silver is Equivalent)
Chance of hitting 6+: 42.4%
Chance of hitting 5+: 91.2%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 14.9%
Terminal Silver/Terminal Silver
Chance of hitting 6+: 17.7%
Chance of hitting 5+: 72.2%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 12.6%
Terminal Collision: 30.3%
Baron/Silver
Chance of hitting 6+: 67.7%
Chance of hitting two 6+: 5.1%
Chance of hitting 5+: 87.4%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 29.0%
Baron drawn and whiffs: 17.7%
Salvager/Silver
Chance of hitting 6+: 24.7%
Chance of hitting 5+: 78.3%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 13.6%
Salvager drawn and whiffs: 17.7%
Feast/Silver
Chance of hitting 6+: 8.8%
Chance of hitting 5+: 94.9%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 34.1%
Chance of 5+5+3: 6.3%
Horse Traders/Silver
Chance of hitting 6+: 38.7%
Chance of hitting 5+: 94.9%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 27.2%
Moat/Silver
(Equivalent to Shanty Town or any other draw 2)
Chance of hitting 6+: 24.6%
Chance of hitting 5+: 94.9%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 0.0%
Oasis/Silver
Chance of hitting 6+: 32.2%
Chance of hitting 5+: 91.8%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 8.2%
Tournamnet/Silver
(Or any other Peddler variant)
Chance of hitting 6+: 37.9%
Chance of hitting 5+: 91.8%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 8.2%
Curse/Silver
(Any Non-economic card)
Chance of hitting 6+: 8.8%
Chance of hitting 5+: 49.4%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 0.0%
Silver/Nothing
(Or with any cantrip that does actual nothing - Pearl Diver is better)
Chance of hitting 6+: 15.2%
Chance of hitting 5+: 60.6%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 0.0%
Tournamnet/Nothing
(Or any other Peddler variant)
Chance of hitting 6+: 7.6%
Chance of hitting 5+: 54.5%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 0.0%
Silver/Great Hall (trashing Hovel)
Chance of hitting 6+: 27.8%
Chance of hitting 5+: 100%
Chance of hitting two 5+: 0.0%
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